PropProphet

LF · NYM

Juan Soto — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
34
Runs
21
Per Game
0.62
Projection
1.05
Current Line
0.5

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Juan Soto went over in 17 of 34 2026 games.

Our projection 1.05 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.55.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.517/3450%
1.54/3412%

Share of 2026 games Soto finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
0.62

Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.65
Away (17)
0.59
Home edge
+0.06

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs PIT1Over
2026-03-28vs PIT0Under
2026-03-29vs PIT0Under
2026-03-30vs STL0Under
2026-03-31vs STL0Under
2026-04-01vs STL1Over
2026-04-03vs SF1Over
2026-04-04vs SF0Under
2026-04-22vs MIN0Under
2026-04-23vs MIN0Under
2026-04-24vs COL0Under
2026-04-25vs COL0Under
2026-04-26vs COL0Under
2026-04-28vs WSH1Over
2026-04-29vs WSH1Over
2026-04-30vs WSH2Over
2026-05-02vs LAA1Over
2026-05-03vs LAA0Under
2026-05-03vs LAA0Under
2026-05-04vs COL1Over
2026-05-06vs COL0Under
2026-05-07vs COL1Over
2026-05-09vs AZ0Under
2026-05-09vs AZ0Under
2026-05-10vs AZ0Under
2026-05-12vs DET1Over
2026-05-13vs DET0Under
2026-05-14vs DET2Over
2026-05-15vs NYY1Over
2026-05-16vs NYY1Over
2026-05-17vs NYY1Over
2026-05-18vs WSH1Over
2026-05-19vs WSH2Over
2026-05-20vs WSH2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Juan Soto’s full profile and methodology.