LF · NYM
Juan Soto — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
34
Home Runs
9
Per Game
0.26
Projection
0.47
Current Line
1.5
At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Juan Soto went over in 1 of 34 2026 games.
Our projection 0.47 vs market line 1.5 — edge -1.03.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 8/34 | 24% |
Share of 2026 games Soto finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.26
Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (17)
0.24
Away (17)
0.29
Home edge
-0.06
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Juan Soto’s full profile and methodology.