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C · MIL

William Contreras — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
45
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.07
Projection
0.03
Current Line

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/457%

Share of 2026 games Contreras finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.07

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home / away splits

Home (24)
0.13
Away (21)
0.00
Home edge
+0.13

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runs
2026-03-26vs CWS0
2026-03-28vs CWS0
2026-03-29vs CWS0
2026-03-30vs TB1
2026-03-31vs TB0
2026-04-01vs TB0
2026-04-04vs KC0
2026-04-05vs KC0
2026-04-06vs BOS0
2026-04-07vs BOS0
2026-04-10vs WSH0
2026-04-11vs WSH1
2026-04-12vs WSH0
2026-04-14vs TOR0
2026-04-15vs TOR0
2026-04-16vs TOR0
2026-04-17vs MIA0
2026-04-18vs MIA0
2026-04-19vs MIA0
2026-04-21vs DET0
2026-04-22vs DET0
2026-04-23vs DET0
2026-04-24vs PIT0
2026-04-25vs PIT0
2026-04-26vs PIT0
2026-04-28vs AZ0
2026-04-29vs AZ0
2026-04-30vs AZ1
2026-05-01vs WSH0
2026-05-02vs WSH0
2026-05-03vs WSH0
2026-05-04vs STL0
2026-05-06vs STL0
2026-05-08vs NYY0
2026-05-09vs NYY0
2026-05-10vs NYY0
2026-05-12vs SD0
2026-05-13vs SD0
2026-05-14vs SD0
2026-05-15vs MIN0
2026-05-16vs MIN0
2026-05-17vs MIN0
2026-05-18vs CHC0
2026-05-19vs CHC0
2026-05-20vs CHC0

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See William Contreras’s full profile and methodology.