2B · COL
Willi Castro — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
40
Total Bases
46
Per Game
1.15
Projection
0.94
Current Line
1.5
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Willi Castro went over in 15 of 40 2026 games.
Our projection 0.94 vs market line 1.3 — edge -0.36.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 22/40 | 55% |
| 1.5 | 15/40 | 38% |
| 2.5 | 4/40 | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3/40 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Castro finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
1.15
Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (21)
1.38
Away (19)
0.89
Home edge
+0.49
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs HOU | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TEX | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Willi Castro’s full profile and methodology.