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Tyler Stephenson — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.08
Projection
0.1
Current Line

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/398%

Share of 2026 games Stephenson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.08

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
0.06
Away (21)
0.10
Home edge
-0.04

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runs
2026-03-26vs BOS0
2026-03-29vs BOS0
2026-03-30vs PIT0
2026-04-01vs PIT0
2026-04-03vs TEX1
2026-04-05vs TEX0
2026-04-06vs MIA1
2026-04-07vs MIA0
2026-04-08vs MIA0
2026-04-10vs LAA0
2026-04-11vs LAA0
2026-04-14vs SF0
2026-04-15vs SF0
2026-04-18vs MIN0
2026-04-18vs MIN0
2026-04-19vs MIN0
2026-04-20vs TB0
2026-04-21vs TB0
2026-04-24vs DET0
2026-04-25vs DET0
2026-04-26vs DET0
2026-04-28vs COL0
2026-04-29vs COL0
2026-04-30vs COL0
2026-05-01vs PIT0
2026-05-02vs PIT0
2026-05-04vs CHC0
2026-05-05vs CHC0
2026-05-06vs CHC0
2026-05-07vs CHC0
2026-05-08vs HOU0
2026-05-10vs HOU0
2026-05-12vs WSH0
2026-05-13vs WSH1
2026-05-15vs CLE0
2026-05-16vs CLE0
2026-05-17vs CLE0
2026-05-18vs PHI0
2026-05-19vs PHI0

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler Stephenson’s full profile and methodology.