P · AZ
Merrill Kelly — Pitcher Strikeouts
2026 pitcher strikeouts — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
7
Pitcher Strikeouts
27
Per Game
3.86
Projection
4.3
Current Line
—
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 4/7 | 57% |
| 4.5 | 3/7 | 43% |
| 5.5 | 1/7 | 14% |
| 6.5 | 0/7 | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0/7 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Kelly finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 7 avg
3.86
Season avg
3.86
Last-7 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.
Home / away splits
Home (3)
5.00
Away (4)
3.00
Home edge
+2.00
Per-game pitcher strikeouts at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Date | Opp | Pitcher Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | vs BAL | 3 |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 5 |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 1 |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 5 |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 6 |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 3 |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 4 |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Merrill Kelly’s full profile and methodology.