3B · SD

Manny Machado — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games

Home Runs

Per Game

0.15

Projection

0.13

Current Line

—

Hit rate at common lines

Over	Cleared	Rate
0.5	6/47	13%

Share of 2026 games Machado finished above each line.

Last 10 avg

0.10

Season avg

0.15

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home (25)

0.16

Away (22)

0.14

Home edge

+0.02

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Manny Machado’s full profile and methodology.