P · ATH
Luis Severino — Pitcher Strikeouts
2026 pitcher strikeouts — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
10
Pitcher Strikeouts
54
Per Game
5.40
Projection
6.23
Current Line
5.5
At a line of 5.5 (betonlineag), Luis Severino went over in 5 of 10 2026 games.
Our projection 6.23 vs market line 6 — edge +0.23.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 7/10 | 70% |
| 4.5 | 6/10 | 60% |
| 5.5 | 5/10 | 50% |
| 6.5 | 5/10 | 50% |
| 7.5 | 1/10 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Severino finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
5.40
Season avg
5.40
Over 5.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (4)
6.25
Away (6)
4.83
Home edge
+1.42
Per-game pitcher strikeouts at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Date | Opp | Pitcher Strikeouts | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs TOR | 3 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATL | 7 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYY | 7 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TEX | 7 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CWS | 3 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TEX | 5 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs KC | 8 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs PHI | 3 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BAL | 4 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SF | 7 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luis Severino’s full profile and methodology.