LF · LAA
Josh Lowe — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
40
Home Runs
5
Per Game
0.13
Projection
0.11
Current Line
1.5
At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Josh Lowe went over in 0 of 40 2026 games.
Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.5 — edge -1.39.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/40 | 13% |
Share of 2026 games Lowe finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.13
Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (22)
0.09
Away (18)
0.17
Home edge
-0.08
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Josh Lowe’s full profile and methodology.