1B · AZ
Ildemaro Vargas — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
41
Hits
55
Per Game
1.34
Projection
1.38
Current Line
0.5
At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Ildemaro Vargas went over in 35 of 41 2026 games.
Our projection 1.38 vs market line 0.75 — edge +0.63.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 35/41 | 85% |
| 1.5 | 14/41 | 34% |
| 2.5 | 4/41 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Vargas finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.34
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (21)
1.19
Away (20)
1.50
Home edge
-0.31
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYM | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ildemaro Vargas’s full profile and methodology.