SS · COL
Ezequiel Tovar — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
46
Hits
33
Per Game
0.72
Projection
0.78
Current Line
1.5
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Ezequiel Tovar went over in 5 of 46 2026 games.
Our projection 0.78 vs market line 0.75 — edge +0.03.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 27/46 | 59% |
| 1.5 | 5/46 | 11% |
| 2.5 | 1/46 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Tovar finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.72
Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (22)
0.50
Away (24)
0.92
Home edge
-0.42
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TOR | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ezequiel Tovar’s full profile and methodology.