C · ATL

Drake Baldwin — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games

Runs

Per Game

0.81

Projection

0.68

Current Line

—

Hit rate at common lines

Over	Cleared	Rate
0.5	33/48	69%
1.5	5/48	10%

Share of 2026 games Baldwin finished above each line.

Last 10 avg

0.60

Season avg

0.81

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home (24)

0.83

Away (24)

0.79

Home edge

+0.04

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Drake Baldwin’s full profile and methodology.