1B · WSH
Curtis Mead — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
36
Home Runs
4
Per Game
0.11
Projection
0.07
Current Line
1.5
At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Curtis Mead went over in 0 of 36 2026 games.
Our projection 0.07 vs market line 1.5 — edge -1.43.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/36 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Mead finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.11
Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (20)
0.15
Away (16)
0.06
Home edge
+0.09
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Curtis Mead’s full profile and methodology.