1B · MIA
Connor Norby — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
45
Home Runs
4
Per Game
0.09
Projection
0.07
Current Line
1.5
At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Connor Norby went over in 0 of 45 2026 games.
Our projection 0.07 vs market line 2 — edge -1.93.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/45 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Norby finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.09
Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (25)
0.04
Away (20)
0.15
Home edge
-0.11
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Connor Norby’s full profile and methodology.