P · BOS
Connelly Early — Pitcher Strikeouts
2026 pitcher strikeouts — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
10
Pitcher Strikeouts
50
Per Game
5.00
Projection
5.13
Current Line
—
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 9/10 | 90% |
| 4.5 | 6/10 | 60% |
| 5.5 | 3/10 | 30% |
| 6.5 | 1/10 | 10% |
| 7.5 | 1/10 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Early finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
5.00
Season avg
5.00
Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.
Home / away splits
Home (4)
4.75
Away (6)
5.17
Home edge
-0.42
Per-game pitcher strikeouts at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Date | Opp | Pitcher Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs CIN | 6 |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 4 |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 5 |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIN | 5 |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 4 |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BAL | 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | vs HOU | 3 |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 8 |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 6 |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 5 |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Connelly Early’s full profile and methodology.