C · CHC
Carson Kelly — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
36
Hits
35
Per Game
0.97
Projection
0.7
Current Line
—
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 24/36 | 67% |
| 1.5 | 9/36 | 25% |
| 2.5 | 2/36 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Kelly finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.97
Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.
Home / away splits
Home (21)
0.90
Away (15)
1.07
Home edge
-0.16
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs WSH | 1 |
| 2026-03-28 | vs WSH | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | vs WSH | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | vs LAA | 1 |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 1 |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAA | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CLE | 2 |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CLE | 1 |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TB | 1 |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TB | 2 |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PIT | 1 |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 2 |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PHI | 1 |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 2 |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYM | 1 |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYM | 1 |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYM | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | vs PHI | 1 |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PHI | 3 |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAD | 1 |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 1 |
| 2026-05-01 | vs AZ | 2 |
| 2026-05-03 | vs AZ | 2 |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CIN | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 1 |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TEX | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATL | 1 |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CWS | 3 |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CWS | 1 |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIL | 2 |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIL | 0 |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Carson Kelly’s full profile and methodology.