C · TOR
Brandon Valenzuela — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
27
Home Runs
4
Per Game
0.15
Projection
0.12
Current Line
0.5
At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Brandon Valenzuela went over in 4 of 27 2026 games.
Our projection 0.12 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.38.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/27 | 15% |
Share of 2026 games Valenzuela finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.15
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (13)
0.23
Away (14)
0.07
Home edge
+0.16
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-11 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brandon Valenzuela’s full profile and methodology.