P · PHI
Aaron Nola — Pitcher Strikeouts
2026 pitcher strikeouts — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
10
Pitcher Strikeouts
51
Per Game
5.10
Projection
4.55
Current Line
—
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 8/10 | 80% |
| 4.5 | 7/10 | 70% |
| 5.5 | 3/10 | 30% |
| 6.5 | 2/10 | 20% |
| 7.5 | 1/10 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Nola finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
5.10
Season avg
5.10
Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.
Home / away splits
Home (4)
5.25
Away (6)
5.00
Home edge
+0.25
Per-game pitcher strikeouts at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Date | Opp | Pitcher Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs TEX | 7 |
| 2026-04-03 | vs COL | 9 |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SF | 3 |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CHC | 5 |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CHC | 5 |
| 2026-04-26 | vs ATL | 6 |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIA | 5 |
| 2026-05-09 | vs COL | 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | vs PIT | 2 |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CIN | 5 |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Aaron Nola’s full profile and methodology.